{"id":6032,"date":"2016-12-01T09:12:10","date_gmt":"2016-12-01T13:12:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kerryhannon.com\/?p=6032"},"modified":"2016-12-01T09:12:10","modified_gmt":"2016-12-01T13:12:10","slug":"buying-luxury-real-estate-in-an-uncertain-economy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kerryhannon.com\/?p=6032","title":{"rendered":"Buying Luxury Real Estate in an Uncertain Economy"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\"the-new-york-times<\/a>Evan Kulman, a broker for the real estate firm Compass, was not surprised when the Amagansett<\/a> luxury home that he listed for sale on the first of August sold in a swift six weeks \u2014 nearly four times as fast as similar homes were selling a year ago.<\/p>\n

The new owner snapped up the Long Island property<\/a> \u2014 a 4,043-square-foot, five-bedroom home with two acres \u2014 for slightly more than $4 million, about 7 percent under the asking price, to use as a second home year-round, Mr. Kulman said.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/header>\n

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A home in Amagansett, N.Y., which sold for more than $4 million in September. Credit: Compass<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Why the quick turnaround? \u201cThe architecture,<\/a>\u201d he said. \u201cMy buyer loved the wow factor this house exudes: walls of glass and lots of natural light.\u201d<\/p>\n

READ IN THE NEW YORK TIMES<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

Generally speaking, buying an upscale property to use as a getaway has traditionally been viewed as a lifestyle investment. Stocks and bonds cannot give you the same satisfaction as a heated saltwater pool with a waterfall, surrounded by mahogany decking, and Amagansett ocean breezes.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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While owning residential real estate is typically part of a diversified investment portfolio, what is different in the last year or two is the role the uncertain economy is playing in making purchasing decisions.<\/p>\n

High-end residential buyers still want a good deal, as they always have, and, of course, a property that will eventually have capital appreciation, or will generate rental income, said Kathleen Peddicord, the founder of the Live and Invest Overseas<\/a> publishing group.<\/p>\n

\u201cBut once they have found what they want, there\u2019s more urgency,\u201d Ms. Peddicord said. \u201cIn the past year, they\u2019ve been quicker to pull the trigger on a purchase once they\u2019ve identified such an opportunity.\u201d<\/p>\n

Many high-net-worth investors are plunking cash in a second or third high-end residence as a safety net, stemming from concern about a wide range of economic and political factors. These include the possibility of rising interest rates in the United States, China\u2019s slowdown, low oil prices, conflicts in the Middle East and the reality that equities have been lethargic and bonds have floundered in a bear market.<\/p>\n

\u201cPeople feel more comfortable investing in things they can see and touch and feel, that\u2019s the tangible nature of real estate,\u201d said Michael Sonnenfeldt, founder and chairman of Tiger 21<\/a>, a network of over 440 members who collectively manage more than $40 billion worth of personal investable assets.<\/p>\n

\u201cThat\u2019s why our members are pulling in on some of their private equity<\/a>and fixed-income exposure, rolling up their shirt sleeves and getting involved in tangible assets that they buy with cash,\u201d Mr. Sonnenfeldt said. \u201cFewer people, though, think of it as a pure investment vehicle. They want the security.\u201d<\/p>\n

And they are not just buying United States properties in upscale urban real estate markets like New York and Miami, and vacation spots such as the Hamptons<\/a>, Jackson Hole, Wyo., and Nantucket, in Massachusetts. \u201cI believe the interest among high-end property buyers in overseas markets is greater than ever right now,\u201d Ms. Peddicord said.<\/p>\n

\u201cPeople with money are keen to diversify it beyond the U.S. stock market in particular,\u201d she said. \u201cA vacation or second or third home in a sunny Shangri-La is an increasingly appealing option. It\u2019s a hard asset that doubles as a lifestyle enhancement and that cushions the buyer from any shocks U.S. markets may be in for.\u201d<\/p>\n

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While most ultra-high-net-worth individuals opt for a second or third home in the country where they reside, an increasing number of people with net assets of more than $30 million are buying homes in other countries, according to a 2015 report<\/a> by Wealth-X and Sotheby\u2019s International Realty. International homes account for 16 percent of nonprimary ultra-high-net-worth residences, compared with 11 percent in 2010.<\/p>\n

The middle-market buyers are spending $250,000 to $500,000 on single properties, but high-net-worth individuals are spending $1 million or more in many markets, including the Caribbean<\/a> and Europe, Ms. Peddicord said. \u201cWe\u2019re seeing increased interest in Panama and countries where the U.S. dollar is strong,\u201d she said. These include France, Spain and Portugal.<\/p>\n

Call it market timing. As investors look for a shelter for some money, luxury home prices have softened and are continuing to decline in many markets.<\/p>\n

\u201cPricing on the high end of second homes has experienced an elevated level of \u2018luxflation\u2019 over the past five years that is unprecedented in history,\u201d said Leonard Steinberg, president of Compass<\/a>. \u201cThis pricing is adjusting to more realistic levels as we speak, and people, quite smartly, are buying into the luxury market at a better price than they could have 12 months ago.\u201d<\/p>\n

The gap between asking prices and sales prices of luxury homes is widening, according to Luxury Defined 2016, a study of 2015\u2019s top sales in 100 luxury-housing markets worldwide by Christie\u2019s International Real Estate.<\/p>\n

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A home for sale in El Madro\u00f1al, a gated community in Benahav\u00eds, Spain.<\/span> Credit<\/span>Savills<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

According to the study<\/a>, \u201cThe highest priced home sold in each market traded on average 19 percent less than their original asking prices, compared with 14 percent less in 2014.\u201d As a result of these economic and political factors, \u201cseveral luxury real estate markets across the globe saw a marked increase in sales from overseas investors and second-home buyers over the past 12-18 months.\u201d<\/p>\n

Beyond more realistic prices and the allure of a stable investment to weather stock market volatility, wealthy buyers are also purchasing eco-friendly homes that are energy efficient and smart homes with the latest tech installed to make it seamless to work from any location, according to the Wealth-X and Sotheby\u2019s report.<\/p>\n

Moreover, in the last five years, the trend has been toward gated communities, said David Forbes, private office head of Savills<\/a>, a global real estate firm. \u201cSecurity has become a major issue worldwide. We\u2019ve seen a huge shift away from big single villas in isolated areas toward really high-end secure gated communities with full service amenities, from tennis to a world-class golf course, a spa and something for the kids to do.\u201d<\/p>\n

Savills, for example, lists a $4.9 million seven-bedroom, six-bathroom villa<\/a> in El Madro\u00f1al, a gated community in the hills above Marbella on the Costa del Sol in Spain. The cortijo-style home with panoramic sea and mountain views is in a gated community with 24-hour security.<\/p>\n

Private islands, too, have been in vogue in recent years, particularly in Western Europe, the Caribbean, the British Virgin Islands and the Bahamas. Lately, though, while buyers are inquiring, \u201csales have been rather quiet,\u201d said Farhad Vladi, president of Vladi Private Islands<\/a>, a brokerage firm.<\/p>\n

\u201cBuying an island is an emotional buy, rather than one that\u2019s triggered by economic uncertainty,\u201d he said. \u201cIt\u2019s a luxury, not a necessity. Since some prices have dropped this year, my clients are saying, let\u2019s wait and see if they might come down further.\u201d<\/p>\n

By KERRY HANNON<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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